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Showing posts with the label Geopolitics

THE MOST EXPENSIVE REJECTION IN NOBEL HISTORY: Trump Wanted the Peace Prize. He Didn't Get It. Then the World Got the Bill.

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  THE MOST EXPENSIVE REJECTION IN NOBEL HISTORY Trump Wanted the Peace Prize. He Didn't Get It. Then the World Got the Bill. There are many ways for a powerful man to lose an argument. He can be defeated at the ballot box, outmanoeuvred in a negotiation, contradicted by an ally or humbled by an enemy. Donald Trump discovered another way: he wanted the Nobel Peace Prize, and the Nobel Committee gave it to somebody else. Then, in one of the strangest episodes in the history of international prestige, the woman who actually won the prize eventually handed Trump her medal. He got the gold; he did not get the Nobel. The distinction sounds almost comical until one understands what it says about power, vanity and the one thing power cannot simply order into existence: legitimacy. The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize went to María Corina Machado for her work promoting democratic rights in Venezuela and seeking a peaceful transition from authoritarian rule to democracy. Th...

THE THREE MUSKETEERS OF MAKKAH

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  Explain It Clearly THE THREE MUSKETEERS OF MAKKAH The Missiles Came. One Musketeer Was Under Attack. The Other Two Shed Their Armour: “To Act or Not to Act?” There is something wonderfully reassuring about a defence pact when nobody is being attacked. Presidents shake hands, generals stand erect, flags flutter in the background, and solemn words are spoken about brotherhood, sovereignty and collective security. An attack on one, we are told, is an attack on all. The photographers go home happy. Then the missiles arrive. Saudi Arabia, the central military and financial power in the new arrangement, is now facing an intensifying Houthi campaign involving missiles and drones. The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7 by Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Türkiye, says that an armed attack against any one of the three will be regarded as an attack against all three and calls for deeper defence cooperation. The sentence was designed to strengthen d...

WASHINGTON'S SCREW-THE-WORLD RUSSIA POLICY: Russian Uranium Is “National Interest” When America Needs It. Russian Oil Becomes “Punishable” When India and China Need It.

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  WASHINGTON'S SCREW-THE-WORLD RUSSIA POLICY Russian Uranium Is “National Interest” When America Needs It. Russian Oil Becomes “Punishable” When India and China Need It. There is a revealing moment in great-power politics when a country stops asking whether a rule should be universal and starts asking whether the rule is useful to itself. Washington increasingly looks like it has reached that moment. The United States wants the world to accept a straightforward proposition: Russian energy revenues help sustain Moscow, and countries that continue buying Russian oil should therefore face consequences. Yet the moment Washington's own strategic interests enter the equation, the vocabulary changes. The question becomes not whether dependence is acceptable, but whether dependence is necessary. And suddenly, necessity becomes a defence. That is precisely why the Russian uranium question matters. Washington has moved to restrict Russian low-enriched uranium imports, but t...

THE BLUE JACKAL OF KYIV™. The Panchatantra Lesson Zelensky Should Have Read Before Betting Ukraine’s Future on the West

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  THE SUNDAY PERSPECTIVE™ EXPLAIN IT CLEARLY THE BLUE JACKAL OF KYIV™ The Panchatantra Lesson Zelensky Should Have Read Before Betting Ukraine’s Future on the West There is an old Indian story about a jackal who accidentally falls into a vat of blue dye. When he emerges, the animals of the forest do not recognise him. He looks strange, powerful and unfamiliar, and the jackal quickly discovers that his new colour frightens everyone around him. So he does what ambitious creatures often do when circumstances suddenly make them appear more powerful than they really are: he begins believing the disguise himself. For a while, the forest bows. Then one day, the jackal hears other jackals howling. He forgets the role he is playing and howls back. The disguise is over. The Panchatantra understood something modern geopolitics repeatedly forgets: borrowed power becomes dangerous when the borrower begins m...

Friendship on EMI™: How geopolitics turned alliances into instalment plans

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There was a time when calling another country an ally carried a dangerous but reassuring promise: if you were attacked, your friend would stand beside you. Treaties formalised the commitment, flags and handshakes gave it political theatre, and the language of friendship made the bargain sound almost personal. The world still uses that language. Presidents still speak of historic friendships, strategic partnerships and ironclad commitments. But increasingly, countries behave as though those words come with fine print. The modern geopolitical friendship is conditional, calculated and increasingly transactional. It comes with procurement schedules, strategic interests, economic dependencies, escalation limits and, increasingly, an invoice. Look at Saudi Arabia. For decades, Washington and Riyadh have built one of the most consequential strategic relationships in the Middle East. America has supplied Saudi Arabia with weapons, technology, intelligence and security cooperation; Saudi Ar...